07/11/2018

Is Smaller Better?

Scorecard-7-18-18.pngBank Director’s 2018 Bank Performance Scorecard

Click below to see this year’s rankings.

Consolidation of the U.S. banking industry over the past 30-plus years has created a class of very large and highly diversified institutions, including four that have well over $1 trillion in assets. But these much bigger banks aren’t necessarily better, at least when it comes to their financial performance. Size often brings organizational complexity that makes it more difficult to manage such a large enterprise efficiently and effectively than it would be with a smaller company.

The performance disparity between large and small banks is on full display in Bank Director’s 2018 Bank Performance Scorecard, a ranking of the 300 largest publicly traded banks, where the largest of the 25 top performing banks regardless of size has just $37 billion in assets. The top ranked bank is $1.7 billion asset RBB Bancorp, which is headquartered in Los Angeles and focuses primarily on Chinese-American business customers. Placing second is Little Rock, Arkansas-based Bank of the Ozarks, a perennial Bank Performance Scorecard high performer, with $21 billion in assets. The bank’s performance is driven in large measure by a nationwide commercial real estate lending program. In third place is Live Oak Bancshares, a $2.7 billion bank located in Wilmington, North Carolina, which is the largest originator of Small Business Administration loans in the country. (Read more about Live Oak) All three banks have two things in common: They are relatively small compared to some of the country’s largest banks, and they have focused business strategies that enable them to dominate their markets.

The Scorecard uses five metrics that measure performance across a spectrum of attributes that capture what it means to be a good bank. Return on average assets (ROAA) and return on average equity (ROAE) are used to measure profitability. The ratio of tangible common equity (TCE) to total assets is used to measure capitalization, while the ratio of nonperforming assets (NPA) to total assets and other real estate owned, and the ratio of net charge offs (NCO) to average loans, are used to gauge the strength of a bank’s asset quality. The banks receive a numerical score for each of the metrics, which are then added across. The lower the overall score, the higher the finish. For scoring purposes, ROAA, ROAE and the TCE ratio are given a full weighting, while the two asset quality metrics are each given a half weighting. Banks that rank high on the Scorecard typically do well in all of the metrics rather than dominate just one or two. The Scorecard rewards banks that are well balanced across the full spectrum of profitability, capitalization and asset quality, but with a slight bias toward profitability.

The Scorecard ranking was put together by Sandler O’Neill + Partners in New York, using data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence in Charlottesville, Virginia. The industry’s 2017 earnings were impacted by the the recently enacted tax law, which cut the corporate tax rate from 35 percent to 21 percent. A consequence of the new law is that banks were required to revalue their deferred tax assets or liabilities. Those companies with net deferred tax assets were negatively impacted while, those with a net deferred tax liability were positively impacted. In order to adjust for this event and give a clearer picture of core profitability, expenses related to tax reform arising from deferred tax assets and liabilities (as defined by S&P) were removed on a best-effort basis.

This year, the banks were ranked in two ways. As in past years, the Scorecard is divided into three asset categories: $50 billion and above, $5 billion to $50 billion and $1 billion to $5 billion. But for the first time, the 300 largest public banks are also ranked against each other as a single group, and the results drive home the point that small institutions tend to be the leaders when it comes to financial performance. For example, in the all-300 ranking, the top three performing banks with $50 billion or more in assets are Dallas-based Comerica Corp., at $71 billion, in 50th place, followed by State Street Corp. in Boston, with $238 billion, at 54th, and Cincinnati, Ohio-based Fifth Third Bancorp, with $142 billion, in 69th place.

Formed as a de novo in 2008, RBB and its Royal Business Bank subsidiary focus primarily on the Chinese-American business market in Southern California. It has expanded to 14 other locations in California and Las Vegas through de novo branching and a string of acquisitions of other Chinese-American banks. RBB went public in July of last year through an initial public offering that raised $86 million in capital. (The bank’s ranking is based on its full year 2017 performance data.)

RBB posted strong loan and deposit growth in 2017, of 12.5 percent and 16 percent, respectively, in a year-over-year comparison. The bank’s ROAA of 1.84 and ROAE of 12.99 are second and 15th, respectively, in the all-300 comparison, and it had an efficiency ratio of 37.65 percent for the year. “We had a milestone year in 2017, completing our initial public offering and generating the highest level of net income in the history of the company,” said Chairman and CEO Alan Thain when the bank announced its earnings in January.

Aaron Deer, an equity analyst at Sandler O’Neill who covers RBB, says the bank’s performance last year was the culmination of a strategy that it has been pursuing for the last several years, “which is to run a solid franchise with good organic growth characteristics, while also benefiting from some of the acquisitions they made. In a sense, RBB has become the go-to consolidator among the smaller Chinese-American niche banks.” That trend continued in April when RBB announced that it was acquiring First American International Corp., a bank that serves the Chinese-American communities in the New York boroughs of Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens. While it might seem unusual that a small bank would have outposts on both coasts with nothing in between, both Los Angeles and New York have large Asian-American populations. “Many of the characteristics [of the two markets] do translate from one market to the next,” says Deer.

Fifth Third ties for first with Comerica in the $50 billion and above category due in part to its excellent profitability metrics. The bank’s ROAA of 1.45 and ROAE of 12.26 rank first and second, respectively, out of that category’s 23 banks, while it also has the ninth best TCE ratio. In an interview, Chairman and CEO Greg Carmichael cites a solid 5-percent gain in net interest income and a 20 percent improvement in fee income in 2017 as important contributing factors in the bank’s success. “The other highlight of the year is that we did a nice job of managing expenses,” he says. “If you exclude the one-time [employee] bonuses we gave as a result of tax reform, our expenses were flat year-over-year while we invested heavily in our digital transformation [and] in investments in our core business units. That was a strong, strong outcome for us.”

The fee income gains and expense control are attributable to Project North Star, an initiative launched in September 2016 that focused on lowering expenses, de-risking the balance sheet and developing new fee-based products. Carmichael says that effort has been so successful that the bank has upped its original performance targets to a return on common tangible equity above 15 percent, a return on assets of between 1.35 and 1.5, and an efficiency ratio in the mid-50s.

Fifth Third’s 2017 earnings also included a $679 million after-tax gain from the sale of shares it owned in Vantiv, a publicly-traded payment processing company. Vantiv was formed in 2009 when the bank spun off its payments subsidiary in a joint venture with another payments company.

Comerica had the sixth-best ROAA of 1.23 in the $50 billion-plus category, the eighth-best ROAE of 11.03 and the best TCE ratio of 10.32. Comerica’s balance sheet is extremely asset sensitive, which enabled the bank to take advantage of a rising interest rate environment last year. “Our balance sheet is sensitive to movement in interest rates,” wrote Chairman and CEO Ralph Babb Jr., in an email response to Bank Director magazine. “Our loan portfolio represents a significant portion of our total assets, and approximately 90 percent of our loans are floating rate. Therefore, as rates rise our portfolio is expected to reprice quickly.” Sandler analyst Scott Siefers adds, “Virtually no one does better in terms of asset yield repricing than Comerica does when the short end of the [yield] curve moves up.”

The bank also benefited from the successful execution of its GEAR Up program, launched in mid-2016 and focused on improving fee income and lowering expenses. Fees were up 4 percent in 2017 while expenses were down 4 percent. According to Siefers, the bank has reported lower costs in five of the last six quarters. “They took a lot out of the cost base … at a time when rates started going up, meaning their revenues started to go up,” says Siefers. “So you’ve had this really enormous positive operating leverage creation over the last year or two at Comerica.”

FCB Financial Holdings, which places third in the $5 billion to $50 billion category and seventh overall, is a well-managed bank that focuses on middle-market commercial and industrial (C&I), commercial real estate and residential mortgage lending in Florida. FCB was formed as a de novo in 2009 to pursue an organic growth strategy that, in the words of President and CEO Kent Ellert, would make it “the largest pure play in the state of Florida.” FCB passed $10 billion in assets last year, making it the largest independent Florida bank.

Ellert says the bank’s strong loan growth in recent years, including a 22-percent increase in 2017, is mostly attributable to its success in C&I lending, particularly with Florida middle-market companies that are too large to be serviced by the state’s community banks and yet too small to truly interest the big banks that FCB competes against. “We like the nature of C&I banking,” Ellert says. “We like the depository nature, the treasury management nature, the length of relationship [and] exclusivity you can have with the client. And so, we’ve built a very strong discipline around that, probably one of the best platforms in the state, I would think.”

They’re not in a whole bunch of business lines; they’re largely a spread bank,” says Sandler analyst Stephen Scouten. “They do it well, they’re growing, and they’ve got a good team.”

A Reuters news story in April said that FCB was working with Sandler O’Neill to explore a possible sale. Ellert would not comment on the story. Scouten says he doesn’t know if FCB is working with the investment bankers at his firm or not, but the eventual sale of the bank wouldn’t surprise him. “A lot of people, when [FCB] did their IPO a few years back, really thought the bank would have been sold long before now,” Scouten says. “They did that IPO in late 2014, and I don’t think many people thought it would be around past 2016.”

Scouten says that FCB still has plenty of organic growth opportunities in front of it, but he doesn’t expect Ellert to wait around for the next downturn. “Yes, I do think they are a seller ultimately,” he says. “Kent doesn’t want to go through the next cycle in Florida. I think he would rather sell this bank and come back and do it again one day down the road.”

If large banks generally did worse on the Scorecard than smaller ones, the country’s four largest institutions performed especially poorly. JPMorgan Chase & Co., at $2.5 trillion in assets, ranked 241st, followed by $1.9 trillion Wells Fargo & Co. at 266th, Citigroup, with $1.8 trillion, at 287th and $2.2 trillion Bank of America Corp. at 293rd.

Analysts say that each bank had its own factors that impacted last year’s earnings. JPMorgan, which is generally considered to be the best managed of the four megabanks, spent heavily on technology. Wells Fargo was heavily affected by its account-opening scandal, which continued into 2017. Bank of America continued to work at becoming more efficient. And Citi saw only a modest gain in revenues compared to 2016.

While it might be unreasonable to expect a $2.5 trillion bank to be managed as efficiently as a $2.5 billion one, Sandler analyst Jeffrey Harte, who covers JPMorgan, Bank of America and Citi for the firm, doesn’t dispute the notion that those three companies should be performing better than they are. “For Morgan, the question becomes, are the investments going to pay off?” he says. “For Bank of America, the question becomes, can they get as efficient as they should be, because they’re not there yet. And for Citi, can they generate the revenue growth? They each have their own little area to be working on.”

Wells Fargo’s problems in 2017 were essentially twofold: Sluggish top-line growth as the bank de-emphasized certain lending businesses, such as auto, home equity and commercial real estate, combined with the fallout from the ongoing scandal. “I’m sure it has been an enormous drag on management’s time and attention,” says Siefers, who covers the bank.

One factor that could help level the performance playing field between large and small banks is technology. While scale hasn’t always worked to the advantage of very large banks because of inefficient processes, technology could change that and turn scale into an advantage. “I think we’re hitting a point where technology is making it easier to manage these organizations effectively,” Harte says.

Harte also believes that the megabanks need to do a better job of managing their businesses at the business unit level. “You need to be able to manage your investment bank like Goldman Sachs,” he says. “You need to be able to manage your retail bank like one of the larger U.S. retail banks. You’ve got to push that responsibility down to management of each of the businesses, I think, to really make it work.”

WRITTEN BY

Jack Milligan

Editor-at-Large

Jack Milligan is editor-at-large of Bank Director magazine, a position to which he brings over 40 years of experience in financial journalism organizations. Mr. Milligan directs Bank Director’s editorial coverage and leads its director training efforts. He has a master’s degree in Journalism from The Ohio State University.

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